Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
14º
14º
35
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
BEN
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MNP
0 - 1
TER
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
TER
1 - 2
PIS
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
TER
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
ASC
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 3
CRO
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPE
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 0
ASC
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
39%
24%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SPE
3 - 3
PES
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |