Ternana U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
53.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
15º
41
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
USV
1 - 1
TER
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TER
0 - 2
BEN
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PIS
3 - 1
TER
65%
21%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TER
2 - 2
CCS
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
3 - 0
TER
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAL
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
REG
0 - 2
CRO
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
ASC
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PIS
1 - 2
CRO
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 4
MNP
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |