Ternana U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
57.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
14º
14º
70
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
TER
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TER
0 - 3
NAP
47%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
PES
1 - 0
TER
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 0
TER
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TER
3 - 1
MNP
49%
22%
30%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
2 - 2
CES
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 0
PAR
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +6 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SPE
23%
21%
55%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
PIS
21%
22%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |