Ternana Calcio vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 2
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
TER
0 - 1
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TER
4 - 3
NOV
34%
27%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
LEO
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CES
0 - 1
ACD
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
ACD
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ACD
3 - 2
BEN
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |