Ternana Calcio vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TRE
3 - 1
TER
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
4 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 4
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 1
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
TRI
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TRI
3 - 4
EMP
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |