Ternana Calcio vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TER
2 - 1
TRA
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TER
1 - 2
LEO
40%
28%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
VER
2 - 0
TER
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TER
0 - 1
LAT
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 1
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 5
PRG
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |