Ternana Calcio vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
JUS
1 - 2
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
TER
0 - 0
CAV
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
TER
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TER
1 - 2
ANC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GIU
0 - 2
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
VIR
1 - 0
GIU
55%
27%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VIR
1 - 1
TAR
53%
27%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
RAV
1 - 1
VIR
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VIR
3 - 1
SSS
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAV
2 - 0
VIR
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |