Ternana Calcio vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
TER
2 - 0
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
TER
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TER
2 - 1
PRG
18%
26%
56%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
USF
1 - 0
TER
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
TER
0 - 2
GAL
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
SSM
2 - 2
MAR
53%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SAL
1 - 1
SSM
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SSM
2 - 1
GAL
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PRG
2 - 0
SSM
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SSM
1 - 0
ANC
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |