Ternana Calcio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 0
TER
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TER
2 - 1
ASA
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TER
0 - 1
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GIU
1 - 1
TER
20%
28%
52%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TER
0 - 3
REA
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
RAV
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
COS
3 - 1
SPA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 0
USF
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
REA
1 - 0
SPA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 1
REG
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |