Ternana Calcio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
VIC
2 - 0
TER
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
TAR
66%
23%
12%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
TER
2 - 0
MOD
72%
20%
9%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 0
TER
45%
30%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
TER
2 - 2
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
BRI
1 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
BRE
3 - 1
SPA
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 2
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 0
SPA
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |