Ternana Calcio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
TER
1 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
TER
0 - 1
ASS
57%
19%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
TER
2 - 3
VIC
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ACM
2 - 0
TER
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
41%
31%
29%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
2 - 0
ASS
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |