Ternana Calcio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TER
2 - 1
CTT
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
TER
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
TER
2 - 1
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 0
JUS
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SIE
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
SIE
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
SIE
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |