Ternana Calcio vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ANC
1 - 1
TER
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
TER
1 - 0
GIU
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
TER
2 - 0
TER
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
TER
1 - 1
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
PRG
2 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAL
1 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIR
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ANC
2 - 4
SAN
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
GAL
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |