Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Ternana Calcio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1980 |
TER
1 - 0
SSS
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 1
TER
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
TER
1 - 0
SPA
51%
30%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
TER
1 - 0
ATL
43%
33%
24%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
ASS
1 - 0
TER
60%
25%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
FIO
3 - 1
ROM
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
ASC
3 - 0
ROM
46%
29%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
ROM
4 - 0
PRG
53%
27%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
ROM
1 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |