Ternana Calcio vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 2
TER
33%
26%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 2
PRG
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
TER
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PIA
0 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
PIA
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
PIA
3 - 1
ASC
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 2
PIA
27%
29%
45%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
PIA
2 - 1
FCC
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |