Ternana Calcio vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
USF
1 - 1
TER
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TER
1 - 1
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 1
TER
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
TER
0 - 0
CAR
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
FRO
4 - 2
TER
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PRG
5 - 0
CAR
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PRG
32%
27%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 1
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
USC
3 - 3
PRG
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
PRG
0 - 3
CES
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |