Ternana Calcio vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 0
TER
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
TER
2 - 0
LAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
MAN
2 - 0
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
TER
1 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
USF
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
REG
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRG
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |