Ternana Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
18.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
TER
2 - 0
REG
52%
29%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
SOR
1 - 2
TER
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
TER
2 - 2
ARZ
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
ASS
0 - 0
TER
35%
32%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
CES
5 - 1
NOV
49%
29%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
64%
23%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
REG
2 - 2
NOV
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |