Ternana Calcio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 0
TER
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
TER
2 - 1
ASS
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
TER
0 - 0
GEN
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ATL
1 - 0
TER
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
TER
2 - 1
TOR
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
NAP
1 - 1
TRE
66%
21%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
CES
0 - 0
NAP
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
REG
0 - 1
NAP
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
NAP
1 - 1
REG
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |