Ternana Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
TER
4 - 4
UDI
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
COS
2 - 2
TER
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
TER
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
TER
1 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
TER
3 - 0
SIE
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 1
NAP
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRG
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |