Ternana Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
FIA
0 - 0
TER
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
TER
0 - 1
REG
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
PAD
5 - 0
TER
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
TER
0 - 2
ASC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
PIA
2 - 1
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
38%
30%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 1
MOD
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
MOD
2 - 2
FIA
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 0
COS
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |