Ternana Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 0
TER
55%
26%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
TER
1 - 0
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SAM
1 - 1
TER
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TER
2 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
USC
2 - 1
TER
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 0
TAR
45%
31%
24%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
5 - 0
MOD
56%
28%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
MOD
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |