Ternana Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
FCC
2 - 1
TER
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
TER
1 - 1
NOV
47%
30%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
ARZ
2 - 0
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
TER
1 - 1
PRG
46%
31%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
47%
31%
22%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
REG
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAL
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 0
MOD
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |