Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-10
Ternana Calcio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.7%
72.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
17%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
ACM
4 - 0
TER
93%
6%
1%
|
58 | 92 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
TER
1 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
TER
2 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 0
TER
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
ACM
4 - 0
TER
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
USF
2 - 8
ACM
21%
27%
53%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ACM
4 - 0
VER
80%
15%
6%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
40%
27%
33%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |