Ternana Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
TER
3 - 3
TAR
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASA
0 - 1
TER
38%
30%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TER
2 - 1
SIR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
TER
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ASL
4 - 2
USF
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SSB
1 - 0
ASL
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SIR
1 - 0
ASL
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ASL
0 - 0
JUS
53%
25%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
ASL
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |