Ternana Calcio vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
48%
30%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MAS
0 - 2
TER
25%
27%
49%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
BAR
41%
31%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 4
TER
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
51%
31%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAN
38%
35%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 1
LIV
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAS
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LIV
36%
31%
33%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |