Ternana Calcio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
42%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
TER
2 - 1
PAD
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
LIV
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
JUS
1 - 1
TER
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
VAR
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LEC
3 - 0
SAN
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACD
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ACD
1 - 1
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |