Ternana Calcio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
51%
29%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
COM
2 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
TER
3 - 2
VER
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRE
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 1
GEN
38%
32%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
MAT
72%
18%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 1
GEN
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASS
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |