Ternana Calcio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 0
TER
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TER
1 - 0
FCV
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
TER
2 - 3
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SIR
2 - 2
TER
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TER
1 - 3
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 2
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 0
FOL
43%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAV
2 - 2
FOL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 2
BEN
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NOC
3 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |