Ternana Calcio vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
TER
2 - 0
SSB
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
TER
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
PAL
20%
26%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 1
TER
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
TER
2 - 1
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 0
AKR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 0
FCC
28%
30%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCC
3 - 0
PAG
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 3
FCC
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |