Ternana Calcio vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
TER
0 - 1
LIV
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
48%
30%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MAS
0 - 2
TER
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
BAR
41%
31%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCC
44%
28%
29%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MAS
2 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
3 - 1
BRE
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +2 |