Ternana Calcio vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
LAT
2 - 0
TER
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TER
1 - 3
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 3
TER
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
PES
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EMP
1 - 0
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 1
CES
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 2
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 3
PAD
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 2
REG
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |