Ternana Calcio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 0
TER
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
TER
1 - 0
AVE
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 1
TER
44%
31%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
TER
3 - 2
ASC
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1977 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 2
BOL
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ACM
5 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |