Ternana Calcio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
37.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
TOR
2 - 0
TER
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
TER
0 - 0
ACM
13%
28%
59%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
NAP
1 - 0
TER
68%
22%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
PRG
5 - 0
TER
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
CAG
3 - 1
TER
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 3
ROM
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
BOL
0 - 2
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
FIO
2 - 2
BOL
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |