Ternana Calcio vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
TER
1 - 2
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PIA
2 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
TER
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
NAP
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
25%
29%
46%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 2
VIC
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAT
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |