Ternana Calcio vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TER
4 - 2
SPE
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
USC
3 - 3
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
TER
1 - 1
BRE
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
TER
2 - 3
VNZ
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
TER
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 3
VNZ
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CES
0 - 2
ASC
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 1
FRO
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |