Ternana Calcio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TER
2 - 2
SIE
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TER
2 - 1
CTT
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REG
3 - 4
VAR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
PES
1 - 2
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
LAT
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |