Ternana Calcio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
TER
2 - 1
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
SAL
0 - 2
TER
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
TER
2 - 2
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
EMP
2 - 1
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 3
TOR
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 0
VAR
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 5
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |