Ternana Calcio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
COM
0 - 1
TER
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
TER
4 - 0
PIS
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
RIM
2 - 0
TER
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TER
2 - 0
AVE
51%
28%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
RIM
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
BAR
3 - 0
VAR
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |