Ternana Calcio vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VNZ
0 - 1
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
VIC
49%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 1
TER
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 1
TER
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 0
BAR
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |