Ternana Calcio vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
TER
0 - 0
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 0
TER
41%
32%
27%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
TER
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
26%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
TER
0 - 3
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
57%
27%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BRI
2 - 1
REG
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
REG
0 - 4
VAR
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
REG
2 - 2
BOL
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |