Ternana Calcio vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 3
TER
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TER
1 - 0
PIS
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TER
2 - 0
BEN
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TER
2 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACL
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 2
FCV
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 0
PAV
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAV
3 - 0
FOL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 2
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |