Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
TER
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TER
0 - 3
VER
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
TER
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TER
0 - 0
BAR
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
CES
27%
28%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |