Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ARZ
3 - 1
TER
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2005 |
TER
2 - 2
PES
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
TER
1 - 0
ABN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 0
TER
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
TER
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 2
CES
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
CES
0 - 2
ATL
24%
28%
49%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
VIC
1 - 0
CES
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CES
0 - 1
FIO
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |