Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
BAR
0 - 0
TER
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
TER
1 - 0
COM
49%
31%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
TER
0 - 1
BRE
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 0
TER
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
TER
0 - 0
SAM
56%
27%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
CES
2 - 1
ATL
48%
31%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
VER
3 - 1
CES
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
CES
3 - 3
SPA
52%
30%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
53%
27%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
CES
1 - 1
PAR
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |