Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
TER
0 - 0
SSS
58%
25%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 0
TER
48%
30%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
TER
0 - 0
AVE
61%
25%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
TER
48%
29%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 1
TER
52%
28%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
TOR
1 - 1
CES
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CES
2 - 0
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 1
CES
70%
19%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
FIO
3 - 1
CES
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
CES
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |