Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 0
TER
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
LIV
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
PAD
3 - 3
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
USF
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CES
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |