Surkhon Termez vs Sogdiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
7º
27
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
TER
4 - 0
QOQ
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 0
TER
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
TER
54%
27%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TER
2 - 2
NEF
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 5
SOG
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 2
NAS
40%
29%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 2
SOG
29%
27%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 0
FKT
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |