Surkhon Termez vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
8º
23
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 24 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TER
3 - 1
XOR
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 0
TER
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
MET
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
TER
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 3
AND
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 4
ORO
71%
17%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URA
1 - 0
QIZ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 3
QIZ
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |