Surkhon Termez vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
8º
38
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 49 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 2
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TER
2 - 3
AND
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 1
TER
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
TER
0 - 3
PAK
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
HBK
4 - 1
TER
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
OLM
1 - 0
BUN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OLM
3 - 1
DSA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 1
OLM
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLM
0 - 0
AND
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
OLM
3 - 0
AHA
75%
15%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |